NEW ORDERS, SHIPMENTS and INVENTORIES M3

U.S. Bureau of the Census   >>   M3 advance (end of month+1) M3 release pdf (beginning month+2) M3 historical (used by EconStats)   >>   new order M3 index

Not seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted Month   Avg over ...months in --> Quarter Year   Value on last month of --> Quarter Year         Industrial machinery manufacturing_NOT Seas Adj Avg value over Year   |   For index to all 378 variables see : Index Go to Monthly regression results : ln(IPm/IPm-1) = α + β1 ln(IPm-1/IPm-2) + β2 ln(IPm-1/GDPm-2) + Β2 ln(xm-1/xm-2) + em where IP is Industrial Prodn (Monthly), and xm is the M3 variable such as found below. Go to Quarterly regression results : ln(GDPq/GDPq-1) = α + β1 ln(GDPq-1/GDPq-2) + β2 ln(GDPq-1/GDPq-2) + Β2 ln(xq-1/xq-2) + eq where GDP is Gross Domestic Prod (Quarterly), and xq is the M3 variable such as found below.

                 |    Column (1)      |    Column (2)      |    Column (3)      |    Column (4)      |    Column (5)      |    Column (6)      |    Column (7)      |
                 | Value of Shipments | New Orders         | Unfilled Orders    | Total Inventories  | Materials and      | Work in Process    | Finished Goods     |
                 |                    |                    |                    |                    | Supplies           | Inventories        | Inventories        |
                 |                    |                    |                    |                    | Inventories        |                    |                    |
                 |-- nsa --           |-- nsa --           |-- nsa --           |-- nsa --           |-- nsa --           |-- nsa --           |-- nsa --           |
                 | Industrial         | Industrial         | Industrial         | Industrial         | Industrial         | Industrial         | Industrial         |
                 | machinery          | machinery          | machinery          | machinery          | machinery          | machinery          | machinery          |
                 | manufacturing      | manufacturing      | manufacturing      | manufacturing      | manufacturing      | manufacturing      | manufacturing      |
                 | U33EVS             | U33ENO             | U33EUO             | U33ETI             | U33EMI             | U33EWI             | U33EFI             |
                 | Mil$ nsa           | Mil$ nsa           | Mil$ nsa           | Mil$ nsa           | Mil$ nsa           | Mil$ nsa           | Mil$ nsa           |
                 | Avg over Year      | Avg over Year      | Avg over Year      | Avg over Year      | Avg over Year      | Avg over Year      | Avg over Year      |
                 | StD=0.141          | StD=0.240          | StD=0.208          | StD=0.083          |                    |                    |                    | Standard Deviation,,Standard deviations (StD) and correlations (Corr) calculated starting 1991 or as available.  Variables are LN(x(t)/x(t-1).
                 | AutoCorr=0.154     | AutoCorr=-0.233    | AutoCorr=0.152     | AutoCorr=0.315     |                    |                    |                    | AutoCorr(x(y),x(y) where x(y) = ln(v(y)/v(y+1))
                 |-- Corr w GDP --    |-- Corr w GDP --    |-- Corr w GDP --    |-- Corr w GDP --    |-- Corr w GDP --    |-- Corr w GDP --    |-- Corr w GDP --    | -------- 
                 | GDP(y-1)=0.059     | GDP(y-1)=0.023     | GDP(y-1)=0.054     | GDP(y-1)=0.147     |                    |                    |                    | corr() where xy = ln(v(y)/v(y+1))
                 | GDP(y  )=0.069     | GDP(y  )=0.038     | GDP(y  )=0.023     | GDP(y  )=0.056     |                    |                    |                    | corr() where xy = ln(v(y)/v(y+1))
                 | GDP(y+1)=-0.647    | GDP(y+1)=-0.199    | GDP(y+1)=-0.749    | GDP(y+1)=-1.744    |                    |                    |                    | corr() where xy = ln(v(y)/v(y+1))
Year             |____Jan92_to_Jul13 _|____Feb92_to_Jul13 _|____Jan92_to_Jul13 _|____Jan92_to_Jul13 _|___no_observations _|___no_observations _|___no_observations _|

                            pct chg from prev year (yoy) ________________ 

2013     %chg                   4.1                 11.8                -11.6                 -0.4                   na                   na                   na   
2012     %chg                  14.3                 11.9                 -7.0                  0.1                   na                   na                   na   
2011     %chg                  16.5                  6.5                 21.4                  6.2                   na                   na                   na   
2010     %chg                  16.8                 75.5                -12.4                 -5.3                   na                   na                   na   
2009     %chg                 -24.9                -44.8                -44.2                -14.5                   na                   na                   na   
2008     %chg                 -11.9                -17.4                  9.1                  3.3                   na                   na                   na   
2007     %chg                   3.8                  1.4                 15.5                  5.2                   na                   na                   na   
2006     %chg                  11.2                 21.6                 19.1                 -1.4                   na                   na                   na   
2005     %chg                   0.6                 -6.7                  1.3                  5.0                   na                   na                   na   

                            millions of dollars / month  ________________ 

2013     mil$/mn                 3538p                3678p                7649p                6188p                 na                   na                   na  
2012     mil$/mn                 3398                 3291                 8652                 6211                  na                   na                   na  
2011     mil$/mn                 2974                 2942                 9300                 6206                  na                   na                   na  
2010     mil$/mn                 2552                 2763                 7662                 5844                  na                   na                   na  
2009     mil$/mn                 2184                 1574                 8747                 6174                  na                   na                   na  
2008     mil$/mn                 2910                 2852                15675                 7223                  na                   na                   na  
2007     mil$/mn                 3303                 3452                14366                 6992                  na                   na                   na  
2006     mil$/mn                 3183                 3406                12435                 6644                  na                   na                   na  
2005     mil$/mn                 2862                 2802                10441                 6740                  na                   na                   na  
2004     mil$/mn                 2845                 3002                10303                 6417                  na                   na                   na  
2003     mil$/mn                 2606                 2577                 9647                 6687                  na                   na                   na  
2002     mil$/mn                 2754                 2791                 9411                 7016                  na                   na                   na  
2001     mil$/mn                 2934                 2679                10044                 7977                  na                   na                   na  
2000     mil$/mn                 3862                 4022                12603                 8439                  na                   na                   na  
1999     mil$/mn                 3053                 3170                 9207                 7335                  na                   na                   na  
1998     mil$/mn                 2930                 2703                 9820                 7482                  na                   na                   na  
1997     mil$/mn                 3055                 3129                11176                 7192                  na                   na                   na  
1996     mil$/mn                 2950                 2963                10877                 7152                  na                   na                   na  
1995     mil$/mn                 2687                 2870                 9596                 6513                  na                   na                   na  
1994     mil$/mn                 2224                 2401                 6804                 5474                  na                   na                   na  
1993     mil$/mn                 1954                 2025                 5402                 5051                  na                   na                   na  
1992     mil$/mn                 1763                 1819                 4658                 4584                  na                   na                   na