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Global UK implied instantaneous inflation expectations (from UK Govt Bond yields) 3y to 17y - Avg over Quarter
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) | (13) | (14) | (15) | | 3y | 4y | 5y | 6y | 7y | 8y | 9y | 10y | 11y | 12y | 13y | 14y | 15y | 16y | 17y | | UK | UK | UK | UK | UK | UK | UK | UK | UK | UK | UK | UK | UK | UK | UK | | 1985q1 | 1985q1 | 1985q1 | 1985q1 | 1985q1 | 1985q1 | 1985q1 | 1985q1 | 1985q1 | 1985q1 | 1985q1 | 1985q1 | 1985q1 | 1985q1 | 1985q1 | year.qt Avg over|_____-2010q3_|_____-2010q3_|_____-2010q3_|_____-2010q3_|_____-2010q3_|_____-2010q3_|_____-2010q3_|_____-2010q3_|_____-2010q3_|_____-2010q3_|_____-2010q3_|_____-2010q3_|_____-2010q3_|_____-2010q3_|_____-2010q3_| 2010.3 qtr 2.4386 2.2870 2.2725 2.3290 2.4180 2.5190 2.6213 2.7196 2.8117 2.8971 2.9760 3.0486 3.1152 3.1762 3.2322 2010.2 qtr 2.6605 2.6155 2.6694 2.7711 2.8898 3.0082 3.1175 3.2136 3.2956 3.3642 3.4208 3.4673 3.5055 3.5371 3.5638 2010.1 qtr 2.6033 2.6808 2.7877 2.9063 3.0240 3.1325 3.2283 3.3106 3.3802 3.4387 3.4878 3.5293 3.5647 3.5956 3.6232 2009.4 qtr 2.1330 2.2896 2.4497 2.6030 2.7453 2.8743 2.9892 3.0900 3.1776 3.2530 3.3182 3.3747 3.4243 3.4683 3.5078 2009.3 qtr 1.6521 1.8189 1.9792 2.1304 2.2761 2.4172 2.5523 2.6797 2.7981 2.9070 3.0065 3.0971 3.1796 3.2548 3.3235 2009.2 qtr 1.0784 1.4252 1.6919 1.9054 2.0919 2.2664 2.4334 2.5924 2.7414 2.8790 3.0041 3.1162 3.2155 3.3025 3.3786 2009.1 qtr 0.3539 0.8530 1.2313 1.5280 1.7686 1.9701 2.1442 2.2983 2.4379 2.5664 2.6856 2.7960 2.8978 2.9908 3.0751 2008.4 qtr -0.4975 0.0532 0.4934 0.8622 1.1804 1.4605 1.7113 1.9390 2.1478 2.3404 2.5178 2.6800 2.8269 2.9581 3.0731 2008.3 qtr 2.8490 2.9117 3.0094 3.1169 3.2244 3.3278 3.4255 3.5161 3.5985 3.6720 3.7363 3.7911 3.8367 3.8733 3.9017 2008.2 qtr 3.1826 3.1781 3.2201 3.2828 3.3537 3.4269 3.4984 3.5656 3.6263 3.6793 3.7239 3.7600 3.7881 3.8087 3.8225 2008.1 qtr 2.7954 2.8189 2.8909 2.9780 3.0654 3.1469 3.2198 3.2834 3.3378 3.3837 3.4219 3.4533 3.4791 3.4999 3.5166 2007.4 qtr 2.7652 2.7940 2.8511 2.9188 2.9868 3.0507 3.1085 3.1595 3.2036 3.2413 3.2733 3.3000 3.3223 3.3407 3.3559 2007.3 qtr 2.9232 2.8872 2.8989 2.9316 2.9726 3.0158 3.0582 3.0985 3.1359 3.1700 3.2006 3.2273 3.2503 3.2697 3.2857 2007.2 qtr 2.7963 2.7840 2.8078 2.8503 2.9003 2.9508 2.9983 3.0416 3.0805 3.1148 3.1446 3.1698 3.1906 3.2070 3.2194 2007.1 qtr 2.8416 2.8358 2.8570 2.8851 2.9136 2.9412 2.9678 2.9935 3.0183 3.0417 3.0632 3.0824 3.0987 3.1120 3.1223 2006.4 qtr 2.8663 2.8562 2.8680 2.8848 2.9029 2.9225 2.9437 2.9661 2.9887 3.0102 3.0294 3.0456 3.0584 3.0676 3.0733 2006.3 qtr 2.8876 2.8834 2.8952 2.9121 2.9297 2.9473 2.9647 2.9820 2.9987 3.0144 3.0282 3.0398 3.0487 3.0548 3.0585 2006.2 qtr 2.8109 2.8196 2.8372 2.8586 2.8797 2.8988 2.9154 2.9296 2.9421 2.9528 2.9619 2.9690 2.9742 2.9773 2.9787 2006.1 qtr 2.6487 2.6348 2.6461 2.6698 2.6982 2.7278 2.7570 2.7850 2.8111 2.8346 2.8550 2.8719 2.8854 2.8958 2.9034 2005.4 qtr 2.5996 2.5979 2.6112 2.6305 2.6520 2.6744 2.6975 2.7212 2.7448 2.7675 2.7884 2.8072 2.8237 2.8379 2.8502 2005.3 qtr 2.6534 2.5615 2.5735 2.5898 2.6067 2.6229 2.6383 2.6534 2.6684 2.6837 2.6989 2.7139 2.7285 2.7423 2.7554 2005.2 qtr na 2.6124 2.6215 2.6353 2.6510 2.6666 2.6811 2.6944 2.7070 2.7194 2.7320 2.7446 2.7572 2.7694 2.7810 2005.1 qtr 2.6918 2.7501 2.7459 2.7490 2.7576 2.7696 2.7831 2.7970 2.8106 2.8233 2.8346 2.8445 2.8527 2.8594 2.8647 2004.4 qtr 2.7104 2.7210 2.7435 2.7702 2.7908 2.8068 2.8226 2.8395 2.8538 2.8607 2.8591 2.8504 2.8374 2.8231 2.8105 2004.3 qtr 2.8315 2.8684 2.8985 2.9133 2.9148 2.9066 2.8942 2.8827 2.8743 2.8687 2.8651 2.8624 2.8605 2.8592 2.8586 2004.2 qtr 2.7749 2.8597 2.9503 3.0127 3.0526 3.0719 3.0726 3.0603 3.0416 3.0221 3.0048 2.9902 2.9781 2.9678 2.9587 2004.1 qtr 2.6949 2.6995 2.7289 2.7559 2.7819 2.8040 2.8202 2.8304 2.8349 2.8329 2.8247 2.8112 2.7940 2.7745 2.7545 2003.4 qtr 2.9104 2.8445 2.7864 2.7386 2.6997 2.6659 2.6374 2.6155 2.5985 2.5816 2.5609 2.5364 2.5097 2.4824 2.4563 2003.3 qtr 2.6703 2.6584 2.6479 2.6349 2.6184 2.5976 2.5737 2.5501 2.5289 2.5101 2.4937 2.4796 2.4677 2.4580 2.4503 2003.2 qtr 2.3173 2.3302 2.3828 2.4343 2.4725 2.5002 2.5168 2.5239 2.5246 2.5222 2.5200 2.5191 2.5185 2.5175 2.5157 2003.1 qtr 2.2757 2.3110 2.3535 2.3931 2.4236 2.4484 2.4671 2.4807 2.4899 2.4937 2.4893 2.4751 2.4525 2.4235 2.3905 2002.4 qtr 1.9525 2.1517 2.2730 2.3510 2.4049 2.4431 2.4707 2.4919 2.5080 2.5159 2.5097 2.4857 2.4463 2.3954 2.3372 2002.3 qtr 2.3822 2.4351 2.4663 2.4938 2.5177 2.5380 2.5539 2.5643 2.5672 2.5611 2.5458 2.5227 2.4934 2.4601 2.4243 2002.2 qtr 2.8215 2.7647 2.7204 2.6994 2.6980 2.7137 2.7441 2.7820 2.8190 2.8488 2.8693 2.8802 2.8815 2.8740 2.8584 2002.1 qtr 2.5445 2.4851 2.4335 2.4045 2.4032 2.4288 2.4775 2.5393 2.6007 2.6500 2.6805 2.6893 2.6760 2.6447 2.5996 2001.4 qtr 2.3093 2.3055 2.2967 2.2846 2.2858 2.3083 2.3547 2.4201 2.4925 2.5588 2.6084 2.6359 2.6382 2.6191 2.5835 2001.3 qtr 2.5526 2.5956 2.6110 2.6034 2.5923 2.5908 2.6045 2.6312 2.6623 2.6884 2.7040 2.7080 2.7004 2.6832 2.6584 2001.2 qtr 2.4418 2.5382 2.5980 2.6156 2.6139 2.6127 2.6237 2.6485 2.6798 2.7063 2.7228 2.7300 2.7307 2.7274 2.7226 2001.1 qtr 2.6826 2.7257 2.7280 2.6702 2.5825 2.4997 2.4457 2.4290 2.4431 2.4725 2.5049 2.5338 2.5570 2.5745 2.5890 2000.4 qtr 2.9813 3.0080 2.9921 2.9195 2.8100 2.6927 2.5874 2.4998 2.4295 2.3732 2.3303 2.3007 2.2844 2.2813 2.2925 2000.3 qtr 3.4733 3.4925 3.4102 3.2605 3.0722 2.8725 2.6849 2.5176 2.3724 2.2506 2.1548 2.0890 2.0544 2.0513 2.0771 2000.2 qtr 3.8456 3.7979 3.6093 3.3531 3.0722 2.7921 2.5386 2.3241 2.1497 2.0133 1.9138 1.8529 1.8313 1.8479 1.8985 2000.1 qtr 4.3752 4.4211 4.1384 3.7135 3.2547 2.8055 2.4020 2.0674 1.8038 1.6073 1.4743 1.4032 1.3918 1.4353 1.5268 1999.4 qtr 4.4921 4.4838 4.1328 3.6262 3.0891 2.5737 2.1177 1.7492 1.4691 1.2697 1.1443 1.0880 1.0956 1.1589 1.2689 1999.3 qtr 4.4464 4.3858 4.0468 3.6004 3.1401 2.7139 2.3484 2.0627 1.8541 1.7102 1.6194 1.5736 1.5678 1.5968 1.6553 1999.2 qtr 3.7758 3.8366 3.6756 3.4208 3.1450 2.8978 2.7018 2.5704 2.4988 2.4700 2.4657 2.4728 2.4842 2.4980 2.5128 1999.1 qtr 3.0363 3.0289 2.9332 2.8048 2.6685 2.5508 2.4679 2.4300 2.4327 2.4586 2.4892 2.5120 2.5214 2.5158 2.4951 1998.4 qtr 2.3965 2.3992 2.4116 2.4296 2.4382 2.4382 2.4382 2.4447 2.4542 2.4560 2.4406 2.4057 2.3538 2.2889 2.2136 1998.3 qtr 2.8003 2.7278 2.6715 2.6383 2.6256 2.6333 2.6604 2.7015 2.7462 2.7821 2.7989 2.7918 2.7617 2.7123 2.6475 1998.2 qtr 2.7682 2.6956 2.6658 2.6656 2.6852 2.7187 2.7620 2.8092 2.8529 2.8854 2.9009 2.8969 2.8744 2.8369 2.7877 1998.1 qtr 2.8277 2.7452 2.6756 2.6485 2.6538 2.6822 2.7271 2.7819 2.8371 2.8820 2.9082 2.9122 2.8943 2.8575 2.8060 1997.4 qtr na 3.1190 3.0662 3.0462 3.0539 3.0825 3.1244 3.1720 3.2163 3.2475 3.2586 3.2468 3.2137 3.1629 3.0990 1997.3 qtr na 3.3493 3.3708 3.3823 3.3885 3.3916 3.3914 3.3864 3.3744 3.3525 3.3183 3.2716 3.2136 3.1463 3.0722 1997.2 qtr na 3.6754 3.7147 3.7524 3.7871 3.8184 3.8439 3.8606 3.8647 3.8526 3.8226 3.7754 3.7133 3.6392 3.5564 1997.1 qtr na 3.9673 4.1032 4.1660 4.2147 4.2498 4.2715 4.2798 4.2728 4.2477 4.2032 4.1398 4.0596 3.9657 3.8612 1996.4 qtr 3.7629 3.9668 4.1843 4.2977 4.3859 4.4513 4.4957 4.5215 4.5283 4.5148 4.4805 4.4259 4.3529 4.2645 4.1639 1996.3 qtr 3.9362 4.1867 4.4157 4.5946 4.7340 4.8355 4.9013 4.9383 4.9515 4.9440 4.9184 4.8763 4.8192 4.7490 4.6679 1996.2 qtr 4.0852 4.3355 4.5629 4.7287 4.8438 4.9174 4.9557 4.9680 4.9608 4.9369 4.8979 4.8451 4.7792 4.7016 4.6142 1996.1 qtr 3.8214 4.0996 4.3679 4.5833 4.7401 4.8434 4.8993 4.9192 4.9140 4.8884 4.8451 4.7860 4.7133 4.6296 4.5380 1995.4 qtr 3.9455 4.2233 4.4676 4.6602 4.7920 4.8670 4.8925 4.8805 4.8431 4.7873 4.7171 4.6357 4.5457 4.4499 4.3509 1995.3 qtr 4.5286 4.6277 4.7169 4.7856 4.8198 4.8205 4.7933 4.7470 4.6908 4.6300 4.5667 4.5020 4.4362 4.3695 4.3024 1995.2 qtr 4.6503 4.6233 4.6081 4.5944 4.5643 4.5163 4.4551 4.3876 4.3201 4.2551 4.1930 4.1333 4.0753 4.0181 3.9614 1995.1 qtr 5.2064 5.0076 4.8400 4.7033 4.5763 4.4535 4.3380 4.2343 4.1460 4.0731 4.0133 3.9641 3.9233 3.8888 3.8589 1994.4 qtr 5.5963 5.3058 5.0471 4.8273 4.6292 4.4485 4.2895 4.1570 4.0529 3.9748 3.9185 3.8792 3.8530 3.8368 3.8273 1994.3 qtr 5.7562 5.5502 5.3042 5.0561 4.8143 4.5875 4.3838 4.2085 4.0639 3.9485 3.8592 3.7923 3.7438 3.7101 3.6874 1994.2 qtr 5.6820 5.6490 5.4555 5.1959 4.9169 4.6498 4.4098 4.2057 4.0408 3.9129 3.8171 3.7475 3.6986 3.6655 3.6434 1994.1 qtr 4.4359 4.4341 4.3705 4.2821 4.1775 4.0669 3.9612 3.8665 3.7837 3.7087 3.6364 3.5629 3.4864 3.4061 3.3219 1993.4 qtr 3.9307 4.0455 4.0905 4.0971 4.0869 4.0727 4.0640 4.0611 4.0574 4.0456 4.0205 3.9793 3.9218 3.8494 3.7647 1993.3 qtr 4.1865 4.4184 4.5308 4.5604 4.5476 4.5230 4.5069 4.5051 4.5079 4.5055 4.4943 4.4734 4.4427 4.4034 4.3567 1993.2 qtr 4.7761 5.0651 5.2847 5.4208 5.4837 5.4917 5.4651 5.4194 5.3619 5.2961 5.2272 5.1589 5.0928 5.0292 4.9668 1993.1 qtr 4.4633 4.6985 5.0407 5.3186 5.5272 5.6682 5.7466 5.7752 5.7657 5.7278 5.6724 5.6077 5.5396 5.4713 5.4033 1992.4 qtr 4.7719 4.6545 4.7949 4.9772 5.1626 5.3277 5.4534 5.5384 5.5874 5.6068 5.6052 5.5902 5.5674 5.5409 5.5123 1992.3 qtr 4.5867 4.3006 4.0802 3.9218 3.8166 3.7536 3.7190 3.7059 3.7120 3.7341 3.7691 3.8138 3.8659 3.9234 3.9847 1992.2 qtr 5.0438 4.6384 4.3050 4.0616 3.8972 3.7968 3.7417 3.7190 3.7230 3.7480 3.7886 3.8404 3.9001 3.9656 4.0348 1992.1 qtr 5.4642 5.1287 4.7960 4.5090 4.2804 4.1082 3.9798 3.8834 3.8128 3.7626 3.7282 3.7061 3.6933 3.6877 3.6436 1991.4 qtr 5.5749 5.4050 5.1902 4.9728 4.7813 4.6248 4.4996 4.3983 4.3155 4.2470 4.1888 4.1385 4.0945 4.0554 3.9054 1991.3 qtr 5.9093 5.8786 5.7225 5.5175 5.3023 5.0964 4.9058 4.7294 4.5658 4.4134 4.2711 4.1380 4.0129 3.8946 3.7815 1991.2 qtr 6.5979 6.5935 6.4121 6.1570 5.8721 5.5789 5.2875 5.0010 4.7230 4.4553 4.1989 3.9543 3.7207 3.4966 3.2803 1991.1 qtr 6.2274 6.1640 5.9921 5.7612 5.5075 5.2484 4.9936 4.7449 4.5038 4.2710 4.0471 3.8324 3.6269 3.4294 3.2387 1990.4 qtr 7.1071 7.1014 6.9845 6.7717 6.4923 6.1671 5.8151 5.4496 5.0792 4.7101 4.3461 3.9903 3.6439 3.3062 2.9759 1990.3 qtr 7.6461 7.5874 7.4683 7.2477 6.9296 6.5357 6.0954 5.6347 5.1709 4.7158 4.2768 3.8572 3.4565 3.0715 2.6985 1990.2 qtr 8.0896 7.7908 7.5394 7.2462 6.8885 6.4731 6.0225 5.5616 5.1082 4.6739 4.2650 3.8835 3.5275 3.1918 2.8709 1990.1 qtr 7.5199 7.1697 6.9035 6.6264 6.3116 5.9554 5.5681 5.1677 4.7690 4.3830 4.0162 3.6717 3.3495 3.0465 2.7583 1989.4 qtr 6.7326 6.5288 6.3567 6.1266 5.8280 5.4744 5.0853 4.6847 4.2926 3.9234 3.5854 3.2809 3.0082 2.7621 2.5360 1989.3 qtr 6.2865 6.1004 6.0021 5.8558 5.6218 5.3058 4.9306 4.5258 4.1184 3.7282 3.3686 3.0456 2.7590 2.5042 2.2737 1989.2 qtr 6.3453 6.1631 6.0776 5.9485 5.7238 5.4083 5.0269 4.6106 4.1881 3.7808 3.4037 3.0637 2.7615 2.4931 2.2513 1989.1 qtr 5.9907 5.8487 5.7923 5.6956 5.5043 5.2191 4.8644 4.4716 4.0716 3.6869 3.3325 3.0165 2.7400 2.4991 2.2862 1988.4 qtr 6.1375 5.9544 5.8383 5.6851 5.4502 5.1370 4.7678 4.3672 3.9599 3.5641 3.1917 2.8500 2.5411 2.2636 2.0125 1988.3 qtr 6.2534 6.1226 6.0123 5.8617 5.6136 5.2662 4.8483 4.3945 3.9396 3.5099 3.1190 2.7715 2.4647 2.1939 1.9526 1988.2 qtr 5.6498 5.7247 5.8362 5.8941 5.8152 5.5825 5.2297 4.8073 4.3631 3.9361 3.5480 3.2078 2.9141 2.6612 2.4417 1988.1 qtr 5.3652 5.2479 5.2813 5.3527 5.3541 5.2311 4.9884 4.6704 4.3261 3.9975 3.7088 3.4698 3.2805 3.1350 3.0252 1987.4 qtr 5.3621 5.2426 5.2954 5.4044 5.4621 5.3978 5.2001 4.9059 4.5661 4.2278 3.9215 3.6609 3.4492 3.2821 3.1521 1987.3 qtr 5.7515 5.4707 5.3635 5.3373 5.3071 5.2028 5.0043 4.7354 4.4371 4.1495 3.8997 3.6976 3.5428 3.4281 3.3446 1987.2 qtr 5.1143 4.8829 4.8384 4.8951 4.9774 5.0018 4.9330 4.7807 4.5785 4.3624 4.1627 3.9946 3.8614 3.7583 3.6770 1987.1 qtr 5.6848 5.5498 5.5513 5.6232 5.7097 5.7479 5.7030 5.5743 5.3865 5.1711 4.9569 4.7606 4.5881 4.4370 4.3012 1986.4 qtr 6.7229 6.5070 6.4014 6.3716 6.3664 6.3150 6.1713 5.9339 5.6353 5.3159 5.0100 4.7372 4.5033 4.3038 4.1297 1986.3 qtr 5.8485 5.7451 5.7654 5.8621 5.9877 6.0719 6.0516 5.9131 5.6831 5.4024 5.1091 4.8299 4.5771 4.3526 4.1511 1986.2 qtr 4.9325 4.9767 5.1209 5.3337 5.5725 5.7817 5.9011 5.9043 5.7998 5.6144 5.3790 5.1212 4.8587 4.6003 4.3002 1986.1 qtr 6.1652 6.0414 5.9923 5.9890 5.9988 5.9827 5.8969 5.7227 5.4696 5.1640 4.8332 4.4998 4.1762 3.8659 na 1985.4 qtr 6.6359 6.6284 6.6436 6.6562 6.6459 6.5912 6.4617 6.2413 5.9394 5.5816 5.1941 4.7983 4.4064 4.0229 4.0752 1985.3 qtr 6.6477 6.7609 6.8427 6.8859 6.8855 6.8380 6.7292 6.5432 6.2821 5.9637 5.6089 5.2361 4.8577 4.4802 4.1062 1985.2 qtr 7.3135 7.3576 7.3620 7.3367 7.2778 7.1788 7.0207 6.7788 6.4505 6.0535 5.6114 5.1458 4.6718 4.1977 3.7269 1985.1 qtr 8.0002 8.1547 8.2122 8.1947 8.0960 7.9126 7.6394 7.2663 6.7952 6.2453 5.6417 5.0061 4.3547 3.6970 3.0040 1984.4 qtr na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na
